Tuesday, January 10, 2023

This is a Really Bad Time to Invest

 

This is a Really Bad Time to Invest

FAMILY UPDATE

Happy New Year! I haven't stayed up until midnight on New Year's in years. But this time two of my kids wanted to try. It wasn't easy, but I made it! At exactly 12:02 I was in bed.
Desmond the dog rolled around in something gross and smelly. Below you can see how we cleaned him.

The world seems extra uncertain and crazy right now, doesn’t it?

1. Rampant inflation
2. Stock market volatility
3. Incredible political divisiveness
4. Terrorism, both domestic and global
5. Worldwide pandemics
6. Foreign proxy wars

This stuff is downright scary.

How could you not be thinking to yourself, "This is a bad time to invest. I had better wait until things cool down."

I can’t blame you for having those thoughts, but allow me to gently plant a seed: This way of thinking could devastate your long-term financial well-being.

So this week I want to give you some perspective. Let’s all jump into my handy time machine. We're headed back to early in the 20th century.

(Buzz. Whirr. Beep. Clunk.) We've arrived!

1. The year is 1941. Hitler is marching across Europe. The war is clearly working in his favor. The reality of World War II can be seen on every American’s face. News just hit that Pearl Harbor has been bombed by the Japanese. Boys are going to war.

American citizens are very realistically thinking to themselves, "THIS time is different. The stock market could collapse and never recover. Heck, there may not even BE a stock market in a few years. We may all be speaking German."

If you invested $100,000 in 1941, ten years later you'd have $483,014.

Let's jump ahead a few years. Next stop, 1951!

2. The year is 1951. Harry Truman orders the development of the hydrogen bomb. Russian expansionism has become a giant concern. The Korean War begins when North Korean Communist forces invade South Korea.
Why in the heck would you invest your money at this time in history?! A new "red" menace has appeared from the wreckage of WWII. The world is an uncertain and scary place.

If you invested $100,000 in 1951, ten years later it would be worth $446,944.

Buckle up, because our time voyage still has a few more stops.

3. The year is 1962. The Cold War begins to really heat up. The USSR has plans to build missile bases in Cuba capable of launching nuclear warheads. As a side note, the Russians had, the year before, successfully tested a 50-megaton hydrogen bomb.

The American populace is gripped with fear. Schools run nuclear attack drills for students. The possibility of a new World War is staring us in the face.

You would have to be completely nuts to invest your money facing such uncertainty. The possibility of worldwide nuclear Armageddon would get any investor a bit nervous.

If you invested $100,000 in 1962, ten years later it is worth $257,778.

Let's jump ahead to the seventies. Groovy, man.

4. The year is 1974. The Watergate scandal has rocked the country, leading to the resignation of Richard Nixon. The Arab oil embargo, which began the year before, has had a deep effect on the economy.

Unemployment reaches historic highs. Cars line up for miles at the gas pumps. Society—economically, politically, and socially—is experiencing some of the worst struggles since the Great Depression.

Investing your hard earned savings at this point in history is ludicrous. The economy is in shambles with no relief in sight.

If you invested $100,000 in 1974, ten years later you would have $397,874.

You know what? Let's take the expressway past the eighties. Here we go!

5. The year is 1991. Saddam Hussein invades Kuwait. A new Middle-Eastern menace has appeared on the scene. George Bush initiates Operation Desert Storm. Racial tensions explode in Los Angeles following the Rodney King verdict.

What a crazy time to be alive! For the first time, the news stations report on the war in real-time, broadcasting frightening images of bombs exploding and tracers filling the air from anti-aircraft guns. Investing during such upheaval would be nothing short of irresponsible.

If you invested $100,000 in 1991, ten years later its worth would be $337,272.

Two more stops on our way back to present day.

6. The year is 2003. The September 11th attacks have radically changed the way Americans view the world. The USA PATRIOT Act and Department of Homeland Security come into being. Hundreds of thousands of troops are called up. The U.S. invades Iraq. The threat of radical Islamic terrorism seemingly comes from nowhere. Tension fills the hearts and minds of the American public.

Why would anyone invest their savings amid such uncertainty?

If you invested $100,000 in 2003, ten years later it would have grown to $204,207.

Last stop on our Time Travel Express!

7. The year is 2008. The housing market plunges. Banks are hit hard, most of them slashing dividends to near zero. Respected institutions such as Lehman Brothers, Washington Mutual, and Countrywide go bankrupt. The stock market goes into free fall. The "Great Recession" is upon us.

If you invested $100,000 at the end of 2007 (before the stock market crash), ten years later it is worth $225,863.

I think you get the point. The phrase "This is a bad time to invest my money" can have dramatic consequences. The world will always seem unstable. Don’t let it derail your financial independence.

Be Blessed,

Dave

I am now doing virtual Social Security webinars each Saturday at 10:00 AM. If you know someone that should attend send them to www.SocialSecurityRSVP.com. Thanks!

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